Chris Lehnes Factoring Specialist

203-664-1535 | clehnes@chrislehnes.com

February Inflation Measured at 2.8%

Posted on March 12, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

February Inflation Measured at 2.8%

The U.S. inflation rate cooled slightly in February, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising by 0.2% for the month, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.8%. This marks a modest decline from January’s 3.0% and is slightly below expectations of 2.9%.

Core, which excludes food and energy prices, also increased by 0.2% in February, leading to a 3.1% year-over-year rise. This represents the slowest annual increase in core inflation since April 2021, signaling that underlying price pressures may be easing.

Key Drivers of Inflation

Shelter Costs: Housing prices continued to rise, with the shelter index increasing by 0.3% in February. This component remains a significant driver.
Energy Prices: The energy index saw a slight 0.2% increase. Gasoline prices declined by 1.0%, but electricity and natural gas costs rose by 1.0% and 2.5%, respectively.
Food Prices: Food prices remained steady, with a 0.2% monthly increase. Prices for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs surged by 1.6%, largely due to a sharp rise in egg prices following supply disruptions.

Economic Implications

The latest data comes amid rising global trade tensions. The recent imposition of tariffs on steel and aluminum imports has led to retaliatory measures from key trading partners, introducing new cost pressures that could affect inflation in the coming months.

Some analysts have adjusted their forecasts, predicting that it could see upward pressure due to these trade policies. If it persists, it may influence future Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates, though for now, policymakers are expected to maintain the current stance of 4.25%-4.50%.

Despite economic uncertainties, February’s report suggests some progress toward price stability, though external factors such as global trade policies and energy market fluctuations could shape the outlook in the months ahead.

Anticipating March 2025: A Confluence of Factors

As March 2025 approaches, economic analysts are closely scrutinizing indicators to forecast the U.S. rate. Recent data and policy developments suggest a complex interplay of factors that may influence inflation in the coming months.

Recent Inflation Trends

In February 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) experienced a modest increase of 0.2%, the smallest gain since October 2024. This rise was primarily driven by a 0.3% uptick in shelter costs, while categories like airline fares and gasoline saw declines. Year-over-year, the CPI climbed 2.8%, a slight decrease from January’s 3.0% increase.

reuters.com

Impact of Tariffs and Trade Policies

The current administration’s trade policies, particularly the imposition of tariffs on major trading partners, are exerting upward pressure on prices. Goldman Sachs has revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast from 2.4% to 1.7%, attributing this adjustment to the economic impact of tariffs. These measures are expected to raise consumer prices, tighten financial conditions, and introduce trade policy uncertainty, all contributing to persistent inflationary pressures.

barrons.com

Federal Reserve’s Stance and Inflation Expectations

The Federal Reserve has indicated a cautious approach, opting to keep interest rates unchanged in light of economic uncertainties. However, the recent tariff increases are anticipated to raise prices in 2025 and 2026, challenging the Fed’s inflation targets. Bank economists project that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, the Fed’s preferred gauge, will be 2.5% in 2025 and 2.4% in 2026, both above the Fed’s 2.0% target.

Comerica

Business and Consumer Inflation Expectations

Recent surveys reveal a notable uptick among businesses. Year-ahead inflation expectations have risen from 3% to 3.5% among manufacturing firms and from 3% to 4% among service firms. Similarly, consumer expectations edged up to 3.1% in February 2025 from 3.0% in January, marking the first increase in four months.

libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org

tradingeconomics.com

Conclusion

Considering the convergence of rising tariffs, adjusted inflation forecasts, and shifting expectations among businesses and consumers, it is projected that the U.S. inflation rate will experience upward pressure in March 2025. While precise figures remain uncertain, the interplay of trade policies and market expectations suggests that inflation may trend above the Federal Reserve’s 2.0% target in the near term.

How Small Businesses Can Prepare for the Impact of Tariffs

Posted on March 7, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

How Small Businesses Can Prepare for the Impact of Tariffs

Preparing for tariffs

Tariffs, or taxes imposed on imported goods, can have significant effects on small businesses. Whether they result in higher costs for raw materials, supply chain disruptions, or increased prices for consumers, tariffs can challenge profitability and long-term sustainability. To navigate these complexities, small business owners must be proactive, strategic, and adaptable. This article explores key strategies that small businesses can employ to mitigate the impact and maintain their competitive edge.

How Small Businesses Can Prepare for Tariffs

Assess the Impact of Tariffs

The first step for any small business is to conduct a thorough assessment of how they will affect operations. Business owners should:

Identify which products or materials are subject.
Analyze cost increases and how they affect pricing and profit margins.
Review trade agreements & exemptions that might be beneficial.
Consult with industry associations or trade experts to understand the broader economic impact.

Diversify Suppliers and Markets

A strong defense against tariffs is supplier and market diversification. Businesses should:

Identify alternative suppliers from countries not affected by tariffs.
Establish relationships with multiple suppliers to reduce dependency on any single source.
Consider nearshoring (sourcing from nearby countries) to reduce supply chain risks.
Explore new markets to offset losses from related price increases.

Optimize Cost Structures

To absorb related costs without significantly increasing prices, small businesses should:

Negotiate better terms with suppliers or explore bulk purchasing discounts.
Streamline operations and improve efficiency to reduce overhead costs.
Invest in automation and technology to enhance productivity.
Evaluate pricing strategies, ensuring that any necessary price increases are well-communicated to customers.

Leverage Trade Policies and Advocacy

Understanding trade policies and engaging in advocacy efforts can also help small businesses adapt. Steps include:

Monitoring policy changes and seeking professional legal or trade advice.
Applying for tariff exemptions or relief programs where applicable.
Engaging with business associations and lobbying groups to voice concerns and influence policy.
Collaborating with industry peers to share insights and strategies.

Strengthen Financial Resilience

Financial preparedness can help small businesses weather the uncertainty caused by tariffs. Key strategies include:

Maintaining a cash reserve to manage unexpected cost fluctuations.
Exploring alternative financing options such as grants, loans, or government programs designed to assist businesses affected by trade policies.
Adjusting budgeting and financial forecasting models to account for potential tariff increases.

Enhance Customer Communication

Price adjustments due to tariffs may be inevitable, but transparent communication with customers can help maintain trust. Businesses should:

Clearly explain price changes and the reasons behind them.
Offer value-added services or loyalty programs to retain customers.
Educate consumers on how tariffs impact the industry and product availability.

Tariffs

While they pose challenges for small businesses, they also present opportunities for innovation, strategic planning, and operational improvements. By assessing risks, diversifying suppliers, optimizing costs, engaging in trade advocacy, strengthening financial resilience, and maintaining clear customer communication, small businesses can successfully navigate the impact of tariffs and continue to thrive in a dynamic global market.

Contact Factoring Specialist, Chris Lehnes

Briefing Document: Preparing Small Businesses for the Impact of Tariffs

Source: “How Small Businesses Can Prepare for the Impact of Tariffs” by Chris Lehnes (March 7, 2025)

Executive Summary:

This article provides a practical guide for small businesses navigating the challenges and potential opportunities presented by tariffs. It emphasizes a proactive and strategic approach, focusing on risk assessment, diversification, cost optimization, policy engagement, financial resilience, and transparent customer communication. The core message is that while tariffs pose difficulties, adaptability and strategic planning can enable small businesses to not only survive but also thrive in a changing global market.

Key Themes and Ideas:

Impact Assessment is Crucial: The article stresses the importance of understanding the specific impact of tariffs on a business’s operations.

“The first step for any small business is to conduct a thorough assessment of how they will affect operations.”
This includes identifying affected products/materials, analyzing cost increases, reviewing trade agreements/exemptions, and seeking expert advice on the broader economic impact.

Diversification as a Mitigation Strategy: Reducing reliance on single suppliers and markets is a key defensive tactic.

“A strong defense against tariffs is supplier and market diversification.”
This involves identifying alternative suppliers, considering nearshoring, and exploring new markets.

Cost Optimization for Absorption: Businesses need to find ways to absorb increased costs without drastically raising prices.

“To absorb related costs without significantly increasing prices, small businesses should…Streamline operations and improve efficiency to reduce overhead costs.”
Strategies include negotiating better terms, streamlining operations, investing in automation, and carefully evaluating pricing strategies.

Leveraging Trade Policies and Advocacy: Small businesses should actively engage with trade policies and advocate for their interests.

“Understanding trade policies and engaging in advocacy efforts can also help small businesses adapt.”
This includes monitoring policy changes, seeking legal/trade advice, applying for exemptions, and collaborating with business associations.

Financial Resilience is Essential: Building a strong financial foundation is critical for weathering uncertainty.

“Financial preparedness can help small businesses weather the uncertainty caused by tariffs.”
Key actions include maintaining a cash reserve, exploring alternative financing options, and adjusting financial forecasting.

Transparent Customer Communication: Open and honest communication with customers about price adjustments is vital for maintaining trust.

“Price adjustments due to tariffs may be inevitable, but transparent communication with customers can help maintain trust.”
Businesses should clearly explain price changes, offer value-added services, and educate consumers on the impact of tariffs.

Opportunity in Adversity: Tariffs, while challenging, can spur innovation and strategic improvements.

“While they pose challenges for small businesses, they also present opportunities for innovation, strategic planning, and operational improvements.”

Key Actionable Items for Small Businesses:

Conduct a comprehensive tariff impact assessment.
Develop a supplier diversification plan.
Identify opportunities to optimize operational costs.
Monitor trade policy changes and explore advocacy options.
Strengthen financial resilience through cash reserves and alternative financing.
Create a transparent communication plan for customer price adjustments.

Conclusion:

The article provides a well-structured and practical roadmap for small businesses facing the challenges of tariffs. By taking a proactive and strategic approach, small businesses can mitigate the negative impacts and position themselves for continued success in the global

Navigating Tariffs: A Study Guide for Small Businesses

Quiz

Answer the following questions in 2-3 sentences each.

What is the first step a small business should take when preparing for the impact of tariffs?
Why is it important for a small business to diversify its suppliers when dealing with tariffs?
Name two ways a small business can optimize its cost structure to absorb the impact of tariffs.
How can understanding trade policies and engaging in advocacy efforts help a small business navigate tariffs?
What are the benefits of maintaining a cash reserve when dealing with the uncertainty of tariffs?
Why is clear communication with customers important when a small business has to raise prices due to tariffs?
Besides diversification, name one strategy that can be implemented to deal with the impact of Tariffs.
What is “nearshoring,” and why might a small business consider it in response to tariffs?
Besides grants and loans, name one other alternative financing option a small business might explore in response to trade policies.
According to the source, what opportunities might tariffs present for small businesses?

Quiz Answer Key

The first step is to conduct a thorough assessment of how tariffs will affect their operations, which includes identifying which products or materials are subject to tariffs and analyzing cost increases. This allows them to understand the scope of the impact on their pricing and profit margins.
Diversifying suppliers helps to reduce dependency on any single source and mitigate the risk of supply chain disruptions caused by tariffs. Identifying alternative suppliers from countries not affected by tariffs can also help maintain stable costs.
A small business can optimize its cost structure by negotiating better terms with suppliers or exploring bulk purchasing discounts, and they can streamline operations to improve efficiency and reduce overhead costs.
Understanding trade policies helps small businesses to identify potential exemptions or relief programs. Engaging in advocacy efforts and voicing concerns through business associations and lobbying groups can influence policy decisions.
Maintaining a cash reserve allows businesses to manage unexpected cost fluctuations caused by tariffs. It also provides a buffer to ensure financial stability during periods of uncertainty.
Clear communication helps maintain customer trust by explaining the reasons behind price changes, such as the increased cost of materials due to tariffs. Being transparent and educating consumers about the impact on the industry can help retain customers.
Optimizing cost structures through negotiation with suppliers.
“Nearshoring” refers to sourcing products or materials from nearby countries. Small businesses might consider nearshoring to reduce supply chain risks and potential delays associated with tariffs on goods from more distant locations.
Government programs designed to assist businesses affected by trade policies.
Tariffs can present opportunities for innovation, strategic planning, and operational improvements. They can drive businesses to become more efficient, explore new markets, and strengthen their overall resilience.

Essay Questions

Consider the following questions and structure your essays to answer them in depth using evidence from the text.

Discuss the importance of strategic planning and adaptability for small businesses in the face of tariffs. Use specific examples from the text to illustrate your points.
Analyze the ways in which small businesses can strengthen their financial resilience to weather the economic uncertainty caused by tariffs. What are the most critical steps they should take?
Evaluate the role of supplier diversification in mitigating the impact of tariffs. What are the challenges and benefits associated with this strategy?
Explain the relationship between effective communication with customers and the ability of a small business to successfully navigate price adjustments due to tariffs.
How might small businesses leverage trade policies and advocacy efforts to mitigate the negative impacts of tariffs and promote a more favorable trade environment?

Glossary of Key Terms

Tariff: A tax or duty imposed on imported goods.
Diversification (of Suppliers): Expanding the range of suppliers to reduce reliance on any single source.
Nearshoring: Sourcing products or services from nearby countries.
Cost Optimization: The process of reducing expenses and improving efficiency in business operations.
Advocacy: Public support for or recommendation of a particular cause or policy.
Financial Resilience: The ability of a business to withstand financial shocks and uncertainties.
Cash Reserve: Funds held in readily available accounts to cover unexpected expenses or shortfalls.
Trade Policy: Government regulations and agreements related to international trade.
Profit Margin: The percentage of revenue that remains after deducting the cost of goods sold and operating expenses.
Automation: The use of technology to perform tasks previously done by humans, often to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
Lobbying: Seeking to influence (a politician or public official) on an issue.

Impact of Trump Tariffs on Mexican and Canadian Imports

Posted on March 3, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

The recent implementation of tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico has introduced significant economic and political challenges. The measures, which include a 25% tariff on all imports from both countries and an additional 10% on Canadian energy products, aim to address concerns over illegal immigration, drug trafficking, and to boost domestic manufacturing.

Impact of Trump Tariffs on Mexican and Canadian Imports

Economic Repercussions

The announcement of these tariffs has already sent shockwaves through financial markets. Major U.S. stock indices experienced declines, while both the Canadian dollar and Mexican peso weakened against the U.S. dollar. Businesses and investors are expressing concerns over rising costs, potential supply chain disruptions, and inflationary pressures.

Corporate Responses and Strategic Adjustments

In response to the tariffs, multinational corporations are reconsidering their North American operations. Some automakers are shifting production away from Mexico to avoid additional costs, while Canadian energy companies are evaluating alternative markets to offset the impact of the new levies. These shifts highlight the broader industry-wide reassessment of manufacturing and supply chain strategies.

Political and Diplomatic Fallout

The tariffs have drawn strong reactions from Canadian and Mexican leaders. Canada has labeled the measures as unacceptable, with officials considering proportional retaliation. Mexico, likewise, has indicated its intention to implement countermeasures, both tariff-based and regulatory, to defend its economic interests. These responses raise concerns over a potential trade war that could further strain diplomatic relations.

Broader Economic Implications

Economists warn that these tariffs may significantly disrupt North American supply chains, particularly in industries like automotive and agriculture. With increased production costs and higher consumer prices, economic growth in all three countries could slow. Businesses operating across borders will need to navigate these new trade barriers while adapting to evolving market conditions.

Conclusion

The implementation of these tariffs marks a major turning point in U.S.-Canada-Mexico trade relations. As businesses and policymakers work to mitigate the economic impact, the long-term consequences will depend on how trade negotiations evolve and whether retaliatory measures escalate. The coming months will be crucial in determining the direction of North American trade policy and economic stability.

Contact Factoring Specialist, Chris Lehnes

Start-ups – New Podcast: Factoring – A Funding Source

Posted on February 26, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

New Podcast Episode: Factoring – A Funding Source for Start-ups.

Questions about what you’ve heard? Contact Chris Lehnes | 203-664-1535 | clehnes@chrislehnes.com | www.chrislehnes.com

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pApeFoi8m_M

Key Concepts Review Factoring: A financial transaction where a business sells its accounts receivable (invoices) to a third party (a factor) at a discount to receive immediate cash. Accounts Receivable: Money owed to a company by its customers for goods or services provided on credit. Working Capital: The capital available to a company for day-to-day operations. Calculated as current assets minus current liabilities. Start-ups: A new business venture, typically characterized by high uncertainty and rapid growth potential. Invoice: A commercial document that itemizes and records a transaction between a buyer and a seller. Glossary of Key Terms Accounts Receivable: Money owed to a company by its customers for goods or services provided on credit. Represented by invoices. Factoring: A financial transaction where a business sells its accounts receivable (invoices) to a third party (a factor) at a discount to receive immediate cash. The factor takes on the responsibility of collecting payment from the customer. Invoice: A commercial document that itemizes and records a transaction between a buyer and a seller. It specifies the goods or services provided, the quantity, the agreed-upon price, and payment terms. Startup: A new business venture, typically characterized by high uncertainty and rapid growth potential. Often faces challenges in securing traditional financing due to a limited track record. Working Capital: The capital available to a company for day-to-day operations. Calculated as current assets minus current liabilities. Adequate working capital is essential for a business to meet its short-term obligations and fund its growth. Business Development Officer: A professional who focuses on generating new leads, nurturing relationships with prospective clients, and promoting business growth. Startups are often overlooked for traditional financing: Lehnes directly addresses the common misconception that startups are not suitable candidates for factoring. He states, “a lot of people don’t consider [startups] as a potential candidate for factoring.” This highlights a gap in financing options for new businesses that might not qualify for conventional loans. Factoring provides immediate working capital: The core benefit of factoring is the immediate cash flow it provides. Lehnes explains, “what our client gets is immediate access to the working capital to build this client relationship, hopefully bring on new clients and become a much stronger business.” This allows startups to cover expenses like payroll and supplier costs, supporting operations and growth. Example Scenario: Seafood Startup: Lehnes presents a specific example of a seafood startup that wants to fulfill a large order from a grocery store chain with 30-day payment terms. Factoring allows the startup to accept the order by bridging the cash flow gap between delivery and payment. “Our client makes a delivery to this customer, invoices, we factor the invoice, purchase it, advance them 75% of the cash immediately, and they can use that cash to pay their employees, pay their suppliers, and keep the wheels in motion.” Focus on Customer Creditworthiness: Versant Funding prioritizes the financial stability of the start-up’s customers over the startup’s own history. As Lehnes emphasizes, “we will do a deal for a company that’s brand new… for us, what’s important is that that one customer be strong.” This is a crucial distinction, as it opens up financing opportunities for startups with strong customer relationships. Cost of Factoring: Lehnes mentions a typical factoring fee of approximately 2.5% per month. He states, “…taking out a fee which in a case like this is usually about 2 and a half % per month.” While this is a cost to the startup, it is presented as worthwhile for the access to immediate capital and growth opportunities. Important Facts/Details: Advance Rate: Versant Funding typically advances 75% of the invoice amount upfront. Fee Structure: The factoring fee is around 2.5% per month. Versant Funding’s Target Client: Start-ups with creditworthy customers, even those with limited operating history. Quotes for Emphasis: “Start-ups are welcome.” “what our client gets is immediate access to the working capital” “for us what’s important is that that one customer be strong” factoring as a valuable financial tool for startups that are seeking to grow but may be excluded from traditional lending options. By focusing on the creditworthiness of the startup’s customers, Versant Funding can provide much-needed working capital, enabling startups to fulfill large orders and expand their businesses. The 2.5% monthly fee is framed as a worthwhile investment for the benefits of immediate cash flow and accelerated growth.

Contact Factoring Specialist, Chris Lehnes – 203-664-1535 | clehnes@chrislehnes.com

Inflation Ticks Up to 3% – Now what?

Posted on February 12, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

Inflation Ticks up to 3% – Now what?

The latest economic data shows that inflation has risen to 3%, prompting concerns about its potential impact on businesses, consumers, and policymakers. While at this level is not necessarily alarming, it does signal a shift in the economic landscape that requires careful consideration.

Understanding the Current Inflationary Trend

A 3% rate represents a moderate increase, but it is essential to analyze the underlying factors driving this rise. Several key elements contribute to inflationary pressures:

Supply Chain Constraints – Ongoing disruptions in global supply chains have led to increased production costs, which businesses are passing on to consumers.
Labor Market Dynamics – Wage growth, driven by a tight labor market, has contributed to higher prices across various sectors.
Energy Prices – Fluctuations in oil and gas prices continue to impact transportation and production costs.
Consumer Demand – Post-pandemic recovery efforts have fueled robust consumer spending, driving up demand for goods and services.

Implications for Businesses and Consumers

For businesses, rising prices can lead to increased costs for raw materials, wages, and operations. Companies must decide whether to absorb these costs, reduce profit margins, or pass them on to consumers through price increases. Additionally, it may impact investment decisions, as higher interest rates could make borrowing more expensive.

Consumers, on the other hand, may feel the strain of higher prices on essential goods and services, reducing their purchasing power. This can lead to shifts in spending habits, with households prioritizing necessities over discretionary purchases.

Policy Responses and Economic Outlook

Central banks and governments have several tools at their disposal to manage inflationary pressures. The most common approach is monetary tightening, including interest rate hikes to curb excessive demand. If inflation persists, further rate increases may be on the horizon.

On the fiscal front, governments may consider targeted interventions such as tax adjustments or subsidies to alleviate the impact on vulnerable populations. However, balancing economic growth with inflation control remains a complex challenge.

What’s Next?

The trajectory of increases in the coming months will depend on multiple factors, including global economic conditions, supply chain recovery, and central bank policies. Businesses should focus on strategic cost management, efficiency improvements, and pricing strategies to navigate inflationary challenges.

For consumers, financial prudence, budgeting, and smart spending decisions will be crucial in maintaining financial stability amid rising prices. Policymakers will need to monitor economic indicators closely to ensure a balanced approach that supports sustainable growth without exacerbating inflationary pressures.

While a 3% inflation rate is manageable, vigilance is key. Stakeholders across the economy must stay informed and proactive to adapt to the evolving economic landscape.

Connect with Factoring Specialist, Chris Lehnes

US GDP Grew 2.5% in 2024: Resilience Amid Uncertainty

Posted on January 30, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

US GDP Grew 2.5% in 2024: Resilience Amid Uncertainty

The U.S. economy demonstrated robust growth in 2024, with gross domestic product (GDP) expanding by 2.5%, according to the latest government data. Despite global economic uncertainty, fluctuating interest rates, and shifting labor market dynamics, the economy managed to sustain moderate yet steady growth throughout the year.

Key Drivers of Growth

Several factors contributed to the 2.5% expansion in GDP. Consumer spending remained a key driver, buoyed by a resilient job market and rising wages. Although inflationary pressures persisted, cooling price increases allowed households to maintain purchasing power. The services sector, particularly travel, hospitality, and healthcare, experienced strong demand, further supporting economic activity.

Business investment also played a role in GDP expansion. Companies continued to allocate capital towards technology, automation, and supply chain enhancements, strengthening productivity and long-term growth prospects. Meanwhile, federal spending, particularly in infrastructure and clean energy projects, added further momentum to economic expansion.

Challenges and Headwinds

While the economy posted solid growth, it was not without challenges. Higher borrowing costs, resulting from the Federal Reserve’s restrictive monetary policies, weighed on sectors sensitive to interest rates, such as housing and commercial real estate. Additionally, global supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions created volatility in trade and commodity markets.

Labor shortages in certain industries also posed constraints, leading businesses to invest more in workforce training and automation to mitigate hiring difficulties. The labor force participation rate remained stable, but demographic shifts and evolving workforce trends continued to shape labor market dynamics.

Outlook for 2025

Looking ahead, economists remain cautiously optimistic about 2025. While growth is expected to moderate slightly, ongoing investments in infrastructure, innovation, and clean energy could provide long-term benefits. The Federal Reserve’s policy stance will be closely watched, as any shifts in interest rates could impact consumer spending and business investment.

Overall, the 2.5% GDP growth in 2024 underscores the resilience of the U.S. economy. Despite global and domestic challenges, strong consumer demand, business investment, and strategic federal policies have supported expansion, setting the stage for continued economic stability in the years ahead.

Contact Factoring Specialist, Chris Lehnes

Fed Doesn’t Make a Move

Posted on January 29, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

Fed Doesn’t Make a Move – Rates remain Unchanged

On January 29, 2025, the Federal Reserve announced its decision to maintain the federal funds rate within the 4.25% to 4.50% range, citing ongoing solid economic activity, stable low unemployment, and persistently elevated inflation.

federalreserve.gov

Economic Implications:

Banking Sector: Moody’s analysts suggest that holding interest rates steady allows banks to better align deposit pricing with declining loan yields, thereby supporting net interest income. marketwatch.com
Inflation Control: The Fed’s decision reflects its cautious approach to managing inflation, which remains above the 2% target. Maintaining current rates aims to prevent exacerbating inflationary pressures. ft.com
Market Reactions: Investors are closely monitoring the Fed’s stance, with major indices experiencing gains ahead of the announcement. The decision to keep rates unchanged provides markets with a degree of stability amid economic uncertainties. investors.com

Political Context: Fed Doesn’t Make a Move

President Donald Trump has advocated for significant rate cuts to stimulate economic growth. However, the Fed’s decision to hold rates steady underscores its commitment to data-driven policy and maintaining independence from political pressures.

ft.com

Future Outlook:

The Federal Reserve emphasized that future rate decisions will be informed by incoming economic data and the evolving economic outlook. Factors such as inflation trends, labor market conditions, and the impact of new fiscal policies will play crucial roles in shaping monetary policy moving forward.

federalreserve.gov

For a more in-depth understanding, you can watch Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference discussing the decision:

federalreserve.gov

Economic Implications: Fed Doesn’t Make a Move

Banking Sector: Moody’s analysts suggest that holding interest rates steady allows banks to better align deposit pricing with declining loan yields, thereby supporting net interest income. marketwatch.com
Inflation Control: The Fed’s decision reflects its cautious approach to managing inflation, which remains above the 2% target. Maintaining current rates aims to prevent exacerbating inflationary pressures. ft.com
Market Reactions: Investors are closely monitoring the Fed’s stance, with major indices experiencing gains ahead of the announcement. The decision to keep rates unchanged provides markets with a degree of stability amid economic uncertainties. investors.com

Political Context:

ft.com

Future Outlook:

federalreserve.gov

For a more in-depth understanding, you can watch Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference discussing the decision:

Contact Factoring Specialist, Chris Lehnes

Factoring Program Overview – A Primer

Posted on January 29, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

Factoring Program Overview – A Primer

Executive Summary – Factoring Program Overview – A Primer

We specialize in providing working capital solutions through accounts receivable factoring, particularly for businesses that may not qualify for traditional bank financing. We focus on the quality of a client’s receivables (invoices owed to them by their customers) rather than the client’s overall financial health, enabling them to serve a wide range of businesses, including startups, rapidly growing companies, and those with financial challenges. We offer full notification, non-recourse factoring with a focus on speed and a personal touch, working with a network of intermediaries like brokers, bankers and lawyers, rather than marketing directly to businesses.

Key Themes and Concepts – Factoring Program Overview – A Primer

Factoring Defined: Factoring is the sale of a company’s accounts receivable invoices to a third-party factor in exchange for immediate working capital. This is not a loan; it’s a purchase of an asset. It is distinct from a loan because there is no loan amount or interest rate, but rather a discount rate or fee against the invoice.

“Factoring is the sale of a company’s accounts receivable invoices to a factor in order to obtain working capital.”

Non-Recourse, Full Notification Factoring: We offer “full notification, non-recourse factoring,” which means:

Non-Recourse: Factor assumes the credit risk of non-payment by the client’s customers. The client is not responsible for repaying the advance if a customer doesn’t pay due to credit issues (bankruptcy, etc.) . However, clients remain responsible if customers don’t pay due to issues with the goods or services provided to the customer, often referred to as a “performance guarantee” or “validity guarantee”.
“With non-recourse, the factor takes on the customer’s credit risk (their inability to pay), but the client remains responsible for most other discounts or deductions their customer may take on an invoice.”
Full Notification: The client’s customers are notified to pay Factor directly and invoices will usually include instructions for the customer to pay directly to the factor. This allows for greater control over the flow of cash and is often used for businesses with weaker financial conditions.
“A notification factor is one that will contact each of a client’s customers and instruct them to make payments to the factoring company. Each invoice issued will usually include instructions that payments must be made payable to the factor.”

Client Profile: Versant targets a broad range of businesses, particularly:

Small to medium-sized companies with annual revenues between $1 million to $50 million.
Companies that need quick access to working capital and can’t wait for slow-paying customers.
Businesses with limited access to traditional credit (startups, fast-growing companies, seasonal businesses, those with poor credit or losses).
Businesses with credit-worthy customers, typically large corporations, municipalities or government agencies.
“The success of nearly every business is dependent on its supply chain. Whether it is a neighborhood restaurant securing fresh produce from local farmers market or a time-sensitive, month or a high-tech manufacturer procuring microchips from Asia often depends on reliable sources of supply. “

Use of Factoring Funds: Factoring can be used for various purposes, including:

Project Financing
Business Growth Financing
Business Acquisition Financing
Bridge Financing
Financing Working Capital Needs
Realization of Supplier Discounts
Preparation for High Season
Crisis Management
Debtor-In-Possession (DIP) Financing

Program Details:

Factoring Volume: We handle annual factoring volumes from $1 million to $120 million, with monthly transaction sizes ranging from $100,000 to $10 million.
Advance Rate: Factor typically advances up to 75% of the face value of approved receivables. The remaining balance (less fees) is paid when the receivable is collected.
“Client is typically advanced 75% of face value of approved receivables in the batch. The balance is paid when the receivable is collected and the batch is fully closed.”
Fees/Rates: Factoring fee is generally 1.5%-2.5% of the face value of the purchased invoices for each month that the account receivable is outstanding. There are no other fees charged on dollars outstanding or for the facility. Fees can vary depending on client risk profile.
“Factoring fee is typically 2.5% of the face value of the purchased invoices for each month that the account receivable is outstanding.”
Factoring Term: Factoring agreements typically range from 1 to 24 months, with some clients renewing.
Personal Guarantee: None is required, as Factor assumes credit risk on the invoice with the previously mentioned “performance guarantee.”
Audit Requirements: None is required of the client’s financial performance, as Factor focuses on the credit quality of their customer base.
Closing Time: Funding can occur as quickly as one week from the initial contact to funding, and often within 3-5 business days of the initial referral.

Competitive Advantage:

Focus on Difficult Deals: Versant specializes in deals other factors might avoid, including those with poor financial performance, limited credit history, or new companies.
Speed: Can fund quickly, often within a week of initial contact, and funding typically occurs on the same day that accounts receivable invoices are received.
Personal Service: Each client is assigned a dedicated Account Executive.
Technological Advantage: We provide clients with access to web-based reports to monitor the performance of their accounts receivable.
“Online platform (FactorSQL Software) enables clients to review reports and determine if/when it’s economical to close out aged receivables “batches.”” Factoring Program Overview – A Primer

Marketing and Business Development:

We focus on educating financial professionals (bankers, brokers, CPAs, attorneys, business coaches) about factoring to increase referrals.
“All my efforts are getting in front of, and speaking with, bankers, attorneys, consultants and coaches, and all those people that help small businesses get through their challenges, so that when one of their challenges could be met by factoring they can recommend what I do,” Lehnes says.”
They aim to build a large network of referral sources.
They see value in being a “bridge” to help businesses grow, become profitable, and eventually obtain traditional bank financing.
“Sometimes they’ll renew with us and stick around a little longer, but we fully acknowledge that we’re a bridge. We’re a way to get a business to the next step of their evolution, where they’re stable enough to get bank financing, or they’re large enough to go out and raise equity, or just that they’re profitable and can move on to a cheaper form of financing.””

Process Steps
The process is a multi-step process that includes:

Initiation: The process begins with identifying a prospect who has accounts receivable that may benefit from factoring. The referral source then hands off the completed request with the necessary documentation (Accounts Receivable Aging, Intake Checklist) to Versant.
Application Review and Legal Documentation: The client submits a signed proposal letter, a signed application, and a non-refundable fee. Versant then prepares a factoring agreement and associated documents, which the client then signs.
Underwriting: Versant conducts a review process by reviewing the Accounts Receivable Aging, conducting public record searches for liens and UCC filings, reviewing customer credit, verifying the receivables by calling the customers, creating a purchase and sale agreement, taking a 100% security interest on client assets, and filing a UCC notice. Invoices will be mailed to debtors with assignment stickers and customers will be notified.
Closing and Funding: Versant purchases the receivables, typically advancing 75% of the face value and assuming responsibility for collection.
Closing of Batches: When all payments for a particular batch are received, Versant pays the balance owed (the difference between what was collected and the 75% advanced) to the client, less their factoring fees.
Ongoing Flow of Receivables: After the client is set up, Versant continually purchases new invoices based on the terms of the agreement.

Factoring’s Role in Economic Uncertainty:

In times of economic uncertainty when traditional lending standards tighten and businesses have reduced cash flow, factoring can be a better option than a traditional bank loan.
“This economic uncertainty will likely continue for some time and cause many traditional lenders to restrict credit to small businesses in an effort to shield their institutions from the impact of a softening economy.”

Important Considerations: Factoring Program Overview – A Primer

Terminology: It’s crucial to understand the differences between lending and factoring terminology (e.g., “loan” vs. “factoring facility,” “borrower” vs. “client/seller”).
Fee Structure: Factoring fees are not interest rates; they are a discount or fee on the invoice amount, generally based on the time the receivable remains outstanding.
Cost vs. Benefit: While factoring can be more expensive than traditional bank loans, it provides critical access to capital, particularly when bank credit is unavailable and can improve a business’s profitability.
Not a “Last Resort”: Factoring is a widely used financial tool, not just an option for troubled companies.

Conclusion: Factoring Program Overview – A Primer

Factoring offers a valuable service for businesses needing flexible and fast access to working capital. Their focus on non-recourse, full-notification factoring, combined with a client-centric approach, positions them as a strong alternative to traditional lenders, particularly in times of economic uncertainty. Their model provides a way for businesses to operate when they do not qualify for traditional loans or need an alternative to banks. Their emphasis on education and partnerships with intermediaries has been crucial to growing their business. Factoring Program Overview – A Primer

**Compiled with AI Assistance

Contact me to learn if your client is a fit:

203-664-1535

clehnes@chrislehnes.com

Request a proposal

New Podcast Episode – Factoring – A Vital Source of Capital for Small Businesses

Posted on January 29, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

New Podcast Episode – Factoring – A Vital Source of Capital for Small Businesses

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Small Businesses face numerous challenges, among them is the ability to have access to sufficient working capital to meet the ongoing cash obligations of the business. While this need can be met by a traditional line of credit for businesses which meet all traditional bank lending criteria, many businesses do not meet those standards and require an alternative. One such option is accounts receivable factoring. With factoring, a B2B or B2G business can quickly convert their accounts receivable into cash. Many factoring companies focus exclusively on the credit quality of the customer base and ignore the financial condition of the business and the personal financial condition of the owners. This works well for businesses with traits such as: Losses Rapidly Growing Highly Leveraged Customer Concentrations Out-of-favor Industries Weak Personal Credit Character Issues Listen to this podcast to gain a greater understanding of the types of businesses which can benefit from this form of financing. To learn if you are a fit contact me today:

**podcast created with AI Assistance (https://notebooklm.google)

Contact me to learn if your client is a factoring fit:

203-664-1535

clehnes@chrislehnes.com

Factoring Study Guide

Quiz

Instructions: Answer the following questions in 2-3 sentences each.

What is the core function of factoring, and how does it provide working capital for businesses?
Describe the difference between recourse and non-recourse, and what impact does it have on risk for the client and the factor?
How do notification and non-notification differ, and which method is more commonly associated with businesses in weaker financial condition?
What are some common reasons a business might choose to use a factoring facility?
What is Versant’s typical advance rate, and what happens with the remaining percentage of the invoice when it’s paid?
What is Versant’s typical fee structure?
What are the key differences in Versant’s approach compared to other factoring companies?
What types of businesses are a good fit with Versant Funding?
What are the steps Versant takes when underwriting a potential new client?
What are two industries Versant does not typically factor?

Answer Key

Factoring is the sale of a company’s accounts receivable to a third party (the factor) in order to obtain immediate working capital. This provides businesses with cash flow by turning their invoices into cash, rather than waiting for customer payments.
In recourse , the client is responsible for repaying the advance if their customer does not pay. In non-recourse factoring, the factor assumes the credit risk of non-payment. Non-recourse generally allows businesses in weaker financial situations to be accommodated.
Notification means the client’s customers are notified to pay the factor directly, often with instructions on the invoice. Non-notification allows payments to be made to the client through a lockbox controlled by the factor. Notification factoring is generally better suited for businesses in weaker financial condition.
Businesses might use for project financing, business growth, acquisition financing, bridge financing, meeting working capital needs, taking advantage of supplier discounts, navigating a crisis, or as debtor-in-possession financing.
Versant typically advances up to 75% of the face value of approved receivables. The remaining 25% of the invoice, minus fees, is paid to the client when the receivable is collected.
Versant’s fee is typically 2.5% of the invoice amount for each month (or portion thereof) the receivable is outstanding.
Versant focuses on larger and more complex deals, provides fast service (funding within a week), and assigns an Account Executive to each client. They focus more on the credit quality of the client’s customers, and less on the overall financial strength of the business itself.
Versant is suitable for small to medium-sized businesses with $1-$50 million in annual revenue that need liquidity and may not qualify for traditional bank financing, particularly those with strong customers, even with a weak financial history.
Versant reviews client’s accounts receivable aging, performs a public records search for UCC filings and liens, conducts a credit review of client’s customers, and verifies receivables by calling customers directly.
Versant does not typically factor for the medical and construction industries.

Essay Questions

Instructions: Write a well-organized essay for each question. Your essays should demonstrate your understanding of factoring concepts and your ability to connect these concepts to the source materials.

Discuss the role of factoring as a financing tool for small to medium-sized businesses, comparing and contrasting it with traditional bank financing. Consider factors such as eligibility criteria, speed of funding, and cost.
Explain the benefits of a non-recourse, full-notification factoring facility for a business that is experiencing financial difficulties and how this model operates from initial referral to final payment of the factored invoices.
Analyze the competitive landscape of the factoring industry, discussing the differences between smaller and larger factors and Versant’s unique positioning within that landscape.
Chris Lehnes emphasizes the importance of educating financial intermediaries rather than business owners about factoring. Discuss the reasoning behind this marketing strategy and how it contributes to Versant’s success.
Assess how Versant’s product and approach has proven beneficial for businesses facing various challenging scenarios (including the impacts of COVID-19) and the impact it has on improving their overall profitability.

Glossary

Account Debtor: The customer of the factoring client who owes money for goods or services rendered; also sometimes referred to as a “customer client.”

Advance Rate: The percentage of the face value of an invoice that a factor provides to the client upfront.

Bridge Financing: Short-term financing used to cover immediate cash needs while a company transitions to another source of funding or a more stable state.

Client: In factoring, the business that is selling its accounts receivable to a factor; also referred to as “seller of receivables.”

Debtor-in-Possession (DIP) Financing: A type of financing provided to a company undergoing Chapter 11 bankruptcy, enabling them to continue operations.

Discount/Fee: The amount a factor charges for providing financing, often expressed as a percentage of the invoice amount, generally applied monthly (or part thereof) that the invoice is outstanding.

Factor: The financial company that purchases accounts receivable from businesses; also referred to as “purchaser of receivables.”

Factoring Agreement: The legal agreement between a factor and a client outlining the terms and conditions of their relationship, including the fees, term of the agreement, and other obligations.

Factoring Facility: The overall agreement and set-up for the sale of invoices between the client and the factor.

Factoring Volume: The total value of accounts receivable factored, usually expressed in monthly, quarterly, or annual terms.

Full Notification Factoring: A type of factoring where the client’s customers are notified to pay the factor directly.

Non-Notification Factoring: A type of factoring where the client’s customers are not notified of the factoring relationship and continue to pay the client, who in turn, settles with the factor.

Non-Recourse Factoring: A type of factoring where the factor assumes the credit risk of non-payment by the client’s customer.

Performance Guarantee: A guarantee provided by the client to the factor, assuring that the invoiced goods/services were provided correctly and as ordered, not a guarantee of payment for the underlying invoices.

Purchase and Sale Agreement: A contract that documents the sale of a batch of invoices from a client to the factor.

Recourse Factoring: A type of where the client is liable to the factor if their customer fails to pay the invoice.

Rebate: The remaining percentage of an invoice amount (after the initial advance) that is paid to the client by the factor after the customer has paid the invoice (less the factor’s fee).

Receivables: Invoices representing money owed to a company for goods or services delivered but not yet paid for; also referred to as “accounts receivable.”

Impact of Tariffs on Imports from Colombia on US Economy

Posted on January 27, 2025 by Chris Lehnes

In recent years, tariffs have become a key tool in the United States’ trade policy. When applied to imports, tariffs serve as taxes levied on goods entering the country, typically aimed at protecting domestic industries or responding to trade imbalances. However, the imposition of tariffs on imports from Colombia, a significant trading partner of the U.S., has the potential to ripple through both economies. Here, we explore the potential impacts on the U.S. economy, considering the key sectors involved, consumers, and the broader economic implications.

Impact of Tariffs on Imports from Colombia on US Economy

1. Key Sectors Affected

Colombia is a major exporter of agricultural products, energy resources, and textiles to the United States. Tariffs on these goods could have the following sectoral effects:

Agriculture: The U.S. imports a significant amount of coffee, bananas, and flowers from Colombia. Tariffs on these goods could increase prices for American importers, disrupt supply chains, and potentially incentivize a shift toward alternative sources or domestic production.
Energy Resources: Colombia is a prominent exporter of oil and coal. Tariffs in this sector could lead to higher energy prices in the U.S., especially in industries heavily reliant on these resources.
Textiles and Apparel: Tariffs on Colombian textiles might increase costs for U.S. retailers and manufacturers, potentially driving up prices for consumers.

2. Impact on U.S. Consumers

Tariffs tend to raise the cost of imported goods, which can result in higher prices for consumers. For example:

Rising Costs: American households could face higher prices for everyday goods such as coffee and clothing, which are staples in many households.
Reduced Choices: As tariffs make Colombian products less competitive, businesses may limit imports, leading to fewer options for consumers.

These factors could dampen consumer spending, which is a critical driver of the U.S. economy.

3. Effects on U.S. Businesses

Import-Dependent Industries: Companies relying on Colombian imports could face higher costs, pressuring their profit margins. For instance, flower retailers might see increased costs during peak seasons like Valentine’s Day and Mother’s Day.
Retaliatory Tariffs: Colombia may respond with tariffs on U.S. exports, affecting American industries such as agriculture (e.g., corn and wheat) and machinery. Retaliatory measures could harm U.S. exporters’ competitiveness in the Colombian market.

4. Macroeconomic Implications

On a broader scale, taxes can have mixed effects on the U.S. economy:

Inflationary Pressures: Higher prices on imported goods can contribute to inflation, eroding purchasing power and complicating monetary policy.
Trade Deficits: While tariffs aim to reduce trade deficits, they may lead to reduced trade volumes overall, disrupting economic relationships and supply chains.
Job Creation vs. Losses: While taxes may protect certain domestic industries and jobs, they can lead to job losses in industries dependent on trade with Colombia.

5. Geopolitical and Strategic Considerations

Colombia is a strategic ally of the United States in Latin America, and trade policies play a role in strengthening bilateral relations. The imposition of tariffs could strain this relationship, potentially affecting cooperation on issues like security, drug trafficking, and regional stability.

Tax on imports from Colombia could have wide-ranging implications for the U.S. economy, affecting key sectors, consumers, and businesses. While such measures may aim to protect domestic industries, the potential downsides—from higher consumer prices to strained international relations—underscore the need for careful consideration. Policymakers must weigh these impacts to ensure that trade policies align with broader economic and strategic objectives.

Contact Factoring Specialist, Chris Lehnes